VSK Arhus 2-1 Aarhus Fremad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - DBU Cup, 3 Sep 2024

📅03/09/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
4.04
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
56%
1.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.15
Over 2.5
52%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.7
No
47%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
7%
X/2
13%
X/X
9%
2/1
4%
2/2
39%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
21%
-1.1pp
24%
Draw
23%
+1.5pp
56%
Away Win
56%
-0.4pp
48%
Under 2.5
43%
+4.9pp
52%
Over 2.5
57%
-4.9pp
53%
BTTS Yes
55%
-2.0pp
47%
BTTS No
45%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME VSK Arhus EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Aarhus Fremad EU Bookmakers 61%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
243 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 426 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME VSK Arhus
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Aarhus Fremad
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
01.05.2021 VSK Arhus VSK Arhus 1-2 HT 0-1 Aarhus Fremad Aarhus Fremad DAN2
19.09.2020 Aarhus Fremad Aarhus Fremad 1-1 HT 0-0 VSK Arhus VSK Arhus DAN2
POST-MATCH VSK Arhus vs Aarhus Fremad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

VSK Arhus squeezed past Aarhus Fremad 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

This one beat our numbers. Aarhus Fremad carried 56% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Aarhus Fremad led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for VSK Arhus and 1.50 for Aarhus Fremad.

What was the final score of VSK Arhus vs Aarhus Fremad?

VSK Arhus 2-1 Aarhus Fremad in the Denmark - DBU Cup on 03/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for VSK Arhus vs Aarhus Fremad?

Before kick-off our model rated an Aarhus Fremad win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split VSK Arhus 20%, draw 24%, Aarhus Fremad 56%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Aarhus Fremad) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Aarhus Fremad) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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