Dover Athletic 0-1 Sittingbourne — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - FA Cup, 3 Sep 2024

📅03/09/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
1.57
Draw
27%
4.08
Away
34%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.59
Over 2.5
55%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.55
No
44%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
19%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
59%
-20.0pp
27%
Draw
21%
+5.7pp
34%
Away Win
20%
+14.2pp
45%
Under 2.5
35%
+9.9pp
55%
Over 2.5
65%
-9.9pp
56%
BTTS Yes
60%
-4.5pp
44%
BTTS No
40%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dover Athletic EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Sittingbourne EU Bookmakers 23%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-25% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 6
367 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Dover Athletic vs Sittingbourne
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sittingbourne nicked a narrow win over Dover Athletic 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 27% / 34% — and on the day Sittingbourne made the difference. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Dover Athletic vs Sittingbourne?

Dover Athletic 0-1 Sittingbourne in the England - FA Cup on 03/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dover Athletic vs Sittingbourne?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dover Athletic win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Dover Athletic 39%, draw 27%, Sittingbourne 34%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Dover Athletic) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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