Ipswich W 0-1 Newmarket — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - FA Cup, 3 Sep 2024

📅03/09/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.49
Draw
28%
4.19
Away
23%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.29
Over 2.5
57%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.7
No
40%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
24%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
63%
-14.1pp
29%
Draw
21%
+7.9pp
23%
Away Win
16%
+6.2pp
43%
Under 2.5
40%
+3.1pp
57%
Over 2.5
60%
-3.1pp
60%
BTTS Yes
55%
+5.4pp
40%
BTTS No
45%
-5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ipswich W EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Newmarket EU Bookmakers 20%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
406 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ipswich W
0-1
AWAY Newmarket
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Ipswich W vs Newmarket
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Newmarket nicked a narrow win over Ipswich W 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Ipswich W at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Ipswich W had 50% of the ball to Newmarket's 50%, shots finished 8-8.

What was the final score of Ipswich W vs Newmarket?

Ipswich W 0-1 Newmarket in the England - FA Cup on 03/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ipswich W vs Newmarket?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ipswich W win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Ipswich W 49%, draw 29%, Newmarket 23%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Ipswich W) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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