Deportivo Cali 0-3 Deportivo Pasto — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 3 Sep 2024

📅03/09/2024 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.12
Draw
32%
2.83
Away
30%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.45
Over 2.5
34%
2.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.19
No
58%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
7%
X/2
8%
X/X
15%
2/1
9%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
43%
-4.7pp
31%
Draw
32%
-0.2pp
30%
Away Win
25%
+5.0pp
66%
Under 2.5
65%
+0.4pp
34%
Over 2.5
35%
-0.4pp
42%
BTTS Yes
42%
+0.1pp
58%
BTTS No
58%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Cali EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Pasto EU Bookmakers 29%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -6%
1.28/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/1.30
-5% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / +20%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
326 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 228 · 72%
19.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.9
17.6 Crosses 11.7
2.8 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Cali
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Deportivo Pasto
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.88 xG 0.75
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
350 Passes 234
80% Pass Accuracy 76%
17 Box Touches 11
16 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 2
24.02.2024 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto 0-1 HT 0-1 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali KOL
04.09.2023 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali 4-0 HT 3-0 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto KOL
19.03.2023 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto 2-1 HT 0-0 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali KOL
15.09.2022 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali 2-0 HT 2-0 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto KOL
18.02.2022 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto 2-0 HT 1-0 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali KOL
05.09.2021 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto 2-0 HT 1-0 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo Cali
0-3
AWAY Deportivo Pasto
0.64 xG 1.25
59% Ball Possession 41%
10 Total Shots 11
1 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
296 Passes 191
78% Pass Accuracy 71%
14 Box Touches 12
27 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Deportivo Cali vs Deportivo Pasto
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Pasto cruised past Deportivo Cali 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 31% / 30% — and on the day Deportivo Pasto made the difference. On goals, no to both teams scoring (58%) landed while under 2.5 goals (66%) missed.

On the day, Deportivo Cali had 59% of the ball to Deportivo Pasto's 41%, shots finished 10-11, expected goals 0.64 to 1.25.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Deportivo Cali and 1.00 for Deportivo Pasto.

What was the final score of Deportivo Cali vs Deportivo Pasto?

Deportivo Cali 0-3 Deportivo Pasto in the Colombia - Primera on 03/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Cali vs Deportivo Pasto?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Cali win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Cali 38%, draw 31%, Deportivo Pasto 30%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Deportivo Cali), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Deportivo Cali) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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