Deportivo Pasto 0-1 Deportivo Cali — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 24 Feb 2024

📅24/02/2024 · 🕒04:20 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.02
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
27%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.54
Over 2.5
41%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.06
No
57%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
19%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
46%
+0.5pp
27%
Draw
29%
-1.8pp
27%
Away Win
26%
+1.3pp
59%
Under 2.5
61%
-1.9pp
41%
Over 2.5
39%
+1.9pp
43%
BTTS Yes
44%
-1.6pp
57%
BTTS No
56%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Pasto EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Cali EU Bookmakers 29%
-2% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +1%
1.25/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.28
-16% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +37% / -28%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
337 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 254 · 73%
16.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.0
17.2 Crosses 13.7
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Pasto
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Deportivo Cali
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.63 xG 1.22
38% Ball Possession 62%
9 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
210 Passes 400
73% Pass Accuracy 83%
9 Box Touches 22
12 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
04.09.2023 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali 4-0 HT 3-0 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto KOL
19.03.2023 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto 2-1 HT 0-0 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali KOL
15.09.2022 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali 2-0 HT 2-0 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto KOL
18.02.2022 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto 2-0 HT 1-0 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali KOL
05.09.2021 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto 2-0 HT 1-0 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali KOL
30.03.2021 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali 1-1 HT 0-1 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo Pasto
0-1
AWAY Deportivo Cali
0.99 xG 0.19
59% Ball Possession 41%
18 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 5
312 Passes 186
80% Pass Accuracy 69%
16 Box Touches 6
20 Crosses 11
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Deportivo Pasto vs Deportivo Cali
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Cali squeezed past Deportivo Pasto 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Deportivo Pasto at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Deportivo Pasto had 59% of the ball to Deportivo Cali's 41%, shots finished 18-7, expected goals 0.99 to 0.19 — on chances, Deportivo Pasto could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportivo Pasto had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Deportivo Pasto and 1.33 for Deportivo Cali.

What was the final score of Deportivo Pasto vs Deportivo Cali?

Deportivo Pasto 0-1 Deportivo Cali in the Colombia - Primera on 24/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Pasto vs Deportivo Cali?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Pasto win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Pasto 46%, draw 27%, Deportivo Cali 27%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Deportivo Pasto) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Deportivo Pasto) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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