Fortaleza CEIF 1-1 Boyaca Chico — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 24 Feb 2024

📅24/02/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.9
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
27%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.6
Over 2.5
37%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.03
No
58%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
20%
X/2
8%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
49%
-3.3pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.6pp
27%
Away Win
24%
+2.7pp
63%
Under 2.5
59%
+4.5pp
37%
Over 2.5
41%
-4.5pp
42%
BTTS Yes
45%
-2.8pp
58%
BTTS No
55%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fortaleza CEIF EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Boyaca Chico EU Bookmakers 28%
+37% / +37% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -10%
1.33/0.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/1.08
+43% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -7%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
336 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 232 · 70%
18.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.2
13.0 Crosses 16.5
4.0 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fortaleza CEIF
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Boyaca Chico
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
29.10.2022 Fortaleza CEIF Fortaleza CEIF 0-2 HT 0-1 Boyaca Chico Boyaca Chico KOLB
25.10.2022 Boyaca Chico Boyaca Chico 0-0 HT 0-0 Fortaleza CEIF Fortaleza CEIF KOLB
24.09.2022 Boyaca Chico Boyaca Chico 0-0 HT 0-0 Fortaleza CEIF Fortaleza CEIF KOLB
27.08.2022 Fortaleza CEIF Fortaleza CEIF 1-0 HT 1-0 Boyaca Chico Boyaca Chico KOLB
27.03.2022 Boyaca Chico Boyaca Chico 0-1 HT 0-1 Fortaleza CEIF Fortaleza CEIF KOLPB
13.10.2021 Fortaleza CEIF Fortaleza CEIF 0-0 HT 0-0 Boyaca Chico Boyaca Chico KOLB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fortaleza CEIF
1-1
AWAY Boyaca Chico
0.90 xG 0.78
63% Ball Possession 37%
15 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 6
420 Passes 194
83% Pass Accuracy 66%
16 Box Touches 9
21 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Fortaleza CEIF vs Boyaca Chico
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fortaleza CEIF and Boyaca Chico couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Fortaleza CEIF at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (63%) landed while no to both teams scoring (58%) missed.

On the day, Fortaleza CEIF had 63% of the ball to Boyaca Chico's 37%, shots finished 15-13, expected goals 0.90 to 0.78.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fortaleza CEIF had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Fortaleza CEIF and 0.33 for Boyaca Chico.

What was the final score of Fortaleza CEIF vs Boyaca Chico?

Fortaleza CEIF 1-1 Boyaca Chico in the Colombia - Primera on 24/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fortaleza CEIF vs Boyaca Chico?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fortaleza CEIF win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Fortaleza CEIF 45%, draw 28%, Boyaca Chico 27%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Fortaleza CEIF), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Fortaleza CEIF) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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