Aguilas Doradas 2-0 Envigado — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 24 Feb 2024

📅24/02/2024 · 🕒02:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.96
Draw
31%
3.18
Away
25%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.71
Over 2.5
44%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.96
No
52%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
47%
-3.5pp
31%
Draw
28%
+2.4pp
26%
Away Win
24%
+1.2pp
56%
Under 2.5
55%
+1.3pp
44%
Over 2.5
45%
-1.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
47%
+1.5pp
52%
BTTS No
53%
-1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aguilas Doradas EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Envigado EU Bookmakers 28%
+1% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +7%
0.99/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.73/1.29
+2% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / +41%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
331 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 236 · 72%
17.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 9.3
17.7 Crosses 12.7
3.1 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aguilas Doradas
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Envigado
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.38 xG 0.70
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
284 Passes 210
77% Pass Accuracy 72%
19 Box Touches 12
15 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 4
25.10.2023 Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas 3-1 HT 1-1 Envigado Envigado KOL
12.09.2023 Envigado Envigado 2-2 HT 1-1 Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas KOL
13.05.2023 Envigado Envigado 1-2 HT 1-2 Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas KOL
25.03.2023 Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas 1-0 HT 1-0 Envigado Envigado KOL
22.10.2022 Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas 1-0 HT 0-0 Envigado Envigado KOL
07.09.2022 Envigado Envigado 0-1 HT 0-1 Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aguilas Doradas
2-0
AWAY Envigado
1.69 xG 1.23
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 3
0 Corners 3
269 Passes 353
79% Pass Accuracy 80%
10 Box Touches 18
13 Crosses 8
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Aguilas Doradas vs Envigado
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aguilas Doradas saw off Envigado 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Aguilas Doradas as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Aguilas Doradas had 45% of the ball to Envigado's 55%, shots finished 11-14, expected goals 1.69 to 1.23.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aguilas Doradas had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Aguilas Doradas and 0.67 for Envigado.

What was the final score of Aguilas Doradas vs Envigado?

Aguilas Doradas 2-0 Envigado in the Colombia - Primera on 24/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aguilas Doradas vs Envigado?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aguilas Doradas win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Aguilas Doradas 44%, draw 31%, Envigado 26%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aguilas Doradas), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Aguilas Doradas) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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