Sportivo Ameliano 3-1 Sportivo Luqueno — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Paraguay - Profesyonel League, 3 Sep 2024

📅03/09/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.67
Draw
28%
2.88
Away
36%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.45
Over 2.5
41%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.16
No
56%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
17%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
33%
+2.7pp
28%
Draw
31%
-2.5pp
36%
Away Win
36%
-0.1pp
59%
Under 2.5
65%
-6.6pp
41%
Over 2.5
35%
+6.6pp
44%
BTTS Yes
42%
+2.0pp
56%
BTTS No
58%
-2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sportivo Ameliano EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Sportivo Luqueno EU Bookmakers 40%
+2% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +14%
1.04/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/1.14
-14% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +4%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
282 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sportivo Ameliano
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Sportivo Luqueno
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
12.05.2024 Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno 0-0 HT 0-0 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano PAR
17.02.2024 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano 1-3 HT 1-1 Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno PAR
10.10.2023 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano 0-2 HT 0-1 Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno PAR
23.07.2023 Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno 1-2 HT 0-1 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano PAR
02.05.2023 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano 2-0 HT 0-0 Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno PAR
20.02.2023 Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno 1-1 HT 0-1 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano PAR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sportivo Ameliano
3-1
AWAY Sportivo Luqueno
60% Ball Possession 40%
13 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Sportivo Ameliano vs Sportivo Luqueno
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sportivo Ameliano got the better of Sportivo Luqueno 3-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 28% / 36% — and on the day Sportivo Ameliano made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Sportivo Ameliano had 60% of the ball to Sportivo Luqueno's 40%, shots finished 13-6.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Sportivo Ameliano and 1.17 for Sportivo Luqueno.

What was the final score of Sportivo Ameliano vs Sportivo Luqueno?

Sportivo Ameliano 3-1 Sportivo Luqueno in the Paraguay - Profesyonel League on 03/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sportivo Ameliano vs Sportivo Luqueno?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sportivo Ameliano win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Sportivo Ameliano 36%, draw 28%, Sportivo Luqueno 36%. The final score 3-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (36/28/36) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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