Norrköping 0-2 IK Sirius — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 3 Oct 2024

Norrköping
0-2 HT 0-1
IK Sirius
📅03/10/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Sweden - Allsvenskan – 2024

Norrköping vs IK Sirius Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.67
Draw
21%
3.45
Away
41%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.1
Over 2.5
53%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.56
No
47%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.09
2-3 Goals
44%
1.85
4-5 Goals
25%
3.07
6+ Goals
10%
9.78
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
4.03
1/2
6%
24.45
1/X
6%
12.8
X/1
14%
6.23
X/2
15%
5.25
X/X
8%
5.13
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
28.5
2/2
20%
3.18
2/X
7%
12.7
Value flag · 2/1 at 28.5 — our 8% vs market 1.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
34%
+4.2pp
21%
Draw
26%
-4.0pp
41%
Away Win
41%
-0.1pp
47%
Under 2.5
44%
+3.1pp
53%
Over 2.5
56%
-3.1pp
53%
BTTS Yes
60%
-6.9pp
47%
BTTS No
40%
+6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Norrköping v IK Sirius — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Norrköping EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY IK Sirius EU Bookmakers 45%
+0% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +2%
1.41/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/1.22
+37% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +14%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
314 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 380 · 81%
21.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.7
21.0 Crosses 19.7
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.8

Norrköping vs IK Sirius Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Norrköping
0W-2D-4L
AWAY IK Sirius
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
0.85 xG 1.86
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 5
302 Passes 416
80% Pass Accuracy 84%
19 Box Touches 25
21 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
01.06.2024 IK Sirius IK Sirius 5-1 HT 3-0 Norrköping Norrköping İSÇ
04.03.2024 IK Sirius IK Sirius 2-2 HT 0-1 Norrköping Norrköping İSÇK
12.11.2023 IK Sirius IK Sirius 2-0 HT 0-0 Norrköping Norrköping İSÇ
02.04.2023 Norrköping Norrköping 1-1 HT 0-1 IK Sirius IK Sirius İSÇ
15.10.2022 IK Sirius IK Sirius 2-0 HT 2-0 Norrköping Norrköping İSÇ
03.07.2022 Norrköping Norrköping 0-1 HT 0-0 IK Sirius IK Sirius İSÇ

Norrköping 0-2 IK Sirius — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Norrköping
0-2
AWAY IK Sirius
1.48 xG 0.95
46% Ball Possession 54%
15 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
382 Passes 469
86% Pass Accuracy 86%
31 Box Touches 25
32 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Norrköping vs IK Sirius
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

IK Sirius saw off Norrköping 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 21% / 41% — and on the day IK Sirius made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Norrköping had 46% of the ball to IK Sirius's 54%, shots finished 15-14, expected goals 1.48 to 0.95 — the balance of chances actually favoured Norrköping.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, IK Sirius led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Norrköping and 2.17 for IK Sirius.

What was the final score of Norrköping vs IK Sirius?

Norrköping 0-2 IK Sirius in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 03/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Norrköping vs IK Sirius?

Before kick-off our model rated an IK Sirius win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Norrköping 38%, draw 21%, IK Sirius 41%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (IK Sirius) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (IK Sirius) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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