Welwalo Adigrat Uni 0-1 Sidama Bunna — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Etiyopya - Premier League, 3 Oct 2024

📅03/10/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.5
Draw
23%
3.18
Away
51%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
60%
1.62
Over
40%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.96
No
58%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1
33%
2-3
41%
4-5
19%
6+
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
3%
X/2
14%
X/X
15%
2/1
10%
2/2
30%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 60%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 Away Win BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
25%
+1.0pp
23%
Draw
28%
-5.1pp
51%
Away Win
47%
+4.0pp
60%
Under 2.5
58%
+1.9pp
40%
Over 2.5
42%
-1.9pp
42%
BTTS Yes
47%
-4.8pp
58%
BTTS No
53%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Welwalo Adigrat Uni EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Sidama Bunna EU Bookmakers 50%
-43% / -43% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +39% / +39%
0.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/0.00
-100% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +44% /
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
323 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 385 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Welwalo Adigrat Uni
0-1
AWAY Sidama Bunna
34% Ball Possession 66%
4 Total Shots 14
1 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 9
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Welwalo Adigrat Uni vs Sidama Bunna
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sidama Bunna squeezed past Welwalo Adigrat Uni 1-0 away from home.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Sidama Bunna as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Welwalo Adigrat Uni had 34% of the ball to Sidama Bunna's 66%, shots finished 4-14.

What was the final score of Welwalo Adigrat Uni vs Sidama Bunna?

Welwalo Adigrat Uni 0-1 Sidama Bunna in the Etiyopya - Premier League on 03/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Welwalo Adigrat Uni vs Sidama Bunna?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sidama Bunna win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Welwalo Adigrat Uni 26%, draw 23%, Sidama Bunna 51%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sidama Bunna), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sidama Bunna) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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