Municipal vs Xinabajul Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Municipal v Xinabajul — Team-Based Signals
Municipal vs Xinabajul Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-2
HT 0-0
Municipal
GUAT
1-2
HT 1-2
Municipal
GUAT
3-0
HT 1-0
Xinabajul
GUAT
0-1
HT 0-0
Municipal
GUAT
2-0
HT 1-0
Xinabajul
GUAT
Municipal 4-3 Xinabajul — Actual Match Statistics
Municipal squeezed past Xinabajul 4-3. Half-time: 3-0. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Municipal as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 4-3 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Municipal had 52% of the ball to Xinabajul's 48%, shots finished 16-15.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Municipal had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Municipal and 0.17 for Xinabajul.
What was the final score of Municipal vs Xinabajul?
Municipal 4-3 Xinabajul in the Guatemala - National League on 03/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Municipal vs Xinabajul?
Before kick-off our model rated a Municipal win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Municipal 61%, draw 22%, Xinabajul 17%. The final score 4-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Municipal), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.