Kyzyl-Zhar 0-1 Ordabasy Shymkent — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kazakistan - Super League, 3 Oct 2024

📅03/10/2024 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.29
Draw
31%
3.11
Away
39%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.59
Over 2.5
39%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.03
No
56%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
49%
4-5 Goals
13%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
15%
X/X
19%
2/1
4%
2/2
18%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
27%
+3.4pp
31%
Draw
28%
+2.9pp
39%
Away Win
45%
-6.3pp
61%
Under 2.5
59%
+2.0pp
39%
Over 2.5
41%
-2.0pp
44%
BTTS Yes
45%
-0.7pp
56%
BTTS No
55%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kyzyl-Zhar EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Ordabasy Shymkent EU Bookmakers 49%
-5% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +1%
0.46/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/0.86
-54% / +53% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +9%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
267 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 397 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kyzyl-Zhar
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Ordabasy Shymkent
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
45% Ball Possession 55%
6 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
20.04.2024 Ordabasy Shymkent Ordabasy Shymkent 1-1 HT 0-1 Kyzyl-Zhar Kyzyl-Zhar KAZP
22.07.2023 Ordabasy Shymkent Ordabasy Shymkent 2-1 HT 0-1 Kyzyl-Zhar Kyzyl-Zhar KAZP
07.06.2023 Kyzyl-Zhar Kyzyl-Zhar 1-0 HT 0-0 Ordabasy Shymkent Ordabasy Shymkent KAZKK
28.05.2023 Kyzyl-Zhar Kyzyl-Zhar 0-1 HT 0-0 Ordabasy Shymkent Ordabasy Shymkent KAZP
17.05.2023 Ordabasy Shymkent Ordabasy Shymkent 2-0 HT 0-0 Kyzyl-Zhar Kyzyl-Zhar KAZKK
11.09.2022 Kyzyl-Zhar Kyzyl-Zhar 4-0 HT 1-0 Ordabasy Shymkent Ordabasy Shymkent KAZP
POST-MATCH Kyzyl-Zhar vs Ordabasy Shymkent
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ordabasy Shymkent squeezed past Kyzyl-Zhar 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 30% / 31% / 39% — and on the day Ordabasy Shymkent made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ordabasy Shymkent led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Kyzyl-Zhar and 1.00 for Ordabasy Shymkent.

What was the final score of Kyzyl-Zhar vs Ordabasy Shymkent?

Kyzyl-Zhar 0-1 Ordabasy Shymkent in the Kazakistan - Super League on 03/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kyzyl-Zhar vs Ordabasy Shymkent?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ordabasy Shymkent win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Kyzyl-Zhar 30%, draw 31%, Ordabasy Shymkent 39%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ordabasy Shymkent), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ordabasy Shymkent) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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