Ordabasy Shymkent 1-1 Kyzyl-Zhar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kazakistan - Super League, 20 Apr 2024

📅20/04/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.66
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
21%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.75
Over 2.5
49%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.96
No
58%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
6%
X/X
9%
2/1
10%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
56%
-0.4pp
23%
Draw
26%
-3.1pp
21%
Away Win
18%
+3.5pp
51%
Under 2.5
53%
-1.9pp
49%
Over 2.5
47%
+1.9pp
42%
BTTS Yes
47%
-4.6pp
58%
BTTS No
53%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ordabasy Shymkent EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Kyzyl-Zhar EU Bookmakers 21%
-4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -2%
1.84/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.78/1.44
+18% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +12%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
296 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ordabasy Shymkent
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Kyzyl-Zhar
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 2
22.07.2023 Ordabasy Shymkent Ordabasy Shymkent 2-1 HT 0-1 Kyzyl-Zhar Kyzyl-Zhar KAZP
07.06.2023 Kyzyl-Zhar Kyzyl-Zhar 1-0 HT 0-0 Ordabasy Shymkent Ordabasy Shymkent KAZKK
28.05.2023 Kyzyl-Zhar Kyzyl-Zhar 0-1 HT 0-0 Ordabasy Shymkent Ordabasy Shymkent KAZP
17.05.2023 Ordabasy Shymkent Ordabasy Shymkent 2-0 HT 0-0 Kyzyl-Zhar Kyzyl-Zhar KAZKK
11.09.2022 Kyzyl-Zhar Kyzyl-Zhar 4-0 HT 1-0 Ordabasy Shymkent Ordabasy Shymkent KAZP
23.04.2022 Ordabasy Shymkent Ordabasy Shymkent 3-1 HT 1-1 Kyzyl-Zhar Kyzyl-Zhar KAZP
POST-MATCH Ordabasy Shymkent vs Kyzyl-Zhar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ordabasy Shymkent and Kyzyl-Zhar shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Ordabasy Shymkent at 56% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ordabasy Shymkent had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Ordabasy Shymkent and 1.17 for Kyzyl-Zhar.

What was the final score of Ordabasy Shymkent vs Kyzyl-Zhar?

Ordabasy Shymkent 1-1 Kyzyl-Zhar in the Kazakistan - Super League on 20/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ordabasy Shymkent vs Kyzyl-Zhar?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ordabasy Shymkent win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Ordabasy Shymkent 56%, draw 23%, Kyzyl-Zhar 21%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Ordabasy Shymkent), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ordabasy Shymkent) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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