20/04/2024
·
12:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
0-0
2nd Score
0-1
Zhenys vs FK Turan Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
10%
X/2
14%
X/X
19%
2/1
6%
2/2
21%
2/X
7%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
💡 For the risk lovers:
Away Win
★★
— pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
34%
36%
Draw
28%
39%
Away Win
39%
57%
Under 2.5
58%
43%
Over 2.5
42%
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
53%
BTTS No
51%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Zhenys v FK Turan — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Zhenys
EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY
FK Turan
EU Bookmakers 43%
+43% /
+43%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
-18%
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
49%
Ball Possession
51%
10
Total Shots
12
4
Shots on Target
5
4
Corners
4
309 · 78%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
320 · 77%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Zhenys vs FK Turan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Zhenys squeezed past FK Turan 1-0.
Our pre-match split (26% / 36% / 39%) promised a tight game; Zhenys found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.
What was the final score of Zhenys vs FK Turan?
Zhenys 1-0 FK Turan in the Kazakistan - Super League on 20/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Zhenys vs FK Turan?
Before kick-off our model rated an FK Turan win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Zhenys 26%, draw 36%, FK Turan 39%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (FK Turan) went the other way.
✗ Match Result (FK Turan)
✓ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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More Kazakistan - Super League
20 Apr 2024