Kairat 1-3 Aktobe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kazakistan - Super League, 20 Apr 2024

📅20/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.05
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
34%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.75
Over 2.5
47%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.81
No
51%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
44%
-3.1pp
25%
Draw
28%
-3.0pp
34%
Away Win
28%
+6.1pp
53%
Under 2.5
53%
-0.6pp
47%
Over 2.5
47%
+0.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.8pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kairat EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Aktobe EU Bookmakers 32%
+22% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -3%
2.29/0.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.20
+70% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -1%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
307 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kairat
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Aktobe
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
19 Total Shots 5
7 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 3
06.08.2023 Aktobe Aktobe 4-2 HT 2-2 Kairat Kairat KAZP
14.05.2023 Kairat Kairat 2-1 HT 0-0 Aktobe Aktobe KAZP
06.11.2022 Aktobe Aktobe 4-1 HT 3-1 Kairat Kairat KAZP
06.03.2022 Kairat Kairat 2-0 HT 0-0 Aktobe Aktobe KAZP
16.10.2021 Aktobe Aktobe 1-2 HT 0-2 Kairat Kairat KAZP
18.05.2021 Kairat Kairat 4-2 HT 2-1 Aktobe Aktobe KAZP
POST-MATCH Kairat vs Aktobe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aktobe saw off Kairat 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Kairat at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kairat had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Kairat and 2.00 for Aktobe.

What was the final score of Kairat vs Aktobe?

Kairat 1-3 Aktobe in the Kazakistan - Super League on 20/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kairat vs Aktobe?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kairat win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Kairat 41%, draw 25%, Aktobe 34%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Kairat) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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