Monarcas Morelia vs Celaya Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Monarcas Morelia v Celaya — Team-Based Signals
Monarcas Morelia vs Celaya Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
Celaya
MEK2
1-3
HT 1-0
Monarcas Morelia
MEK2
1-1
HT 1-0
Celaya
MEK2
3-2
HT 1-1
Celaya
MEK2
2-0
HT 1-0
Monarcas Morelia
MEK2
Monarcas Morelia got the better of Celaya 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.
Our pre-match lean was Celaya at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Monarcas Morelia had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Monarcas Morelia and 1.17 for Celaya.
What was the final score of Monarcas Morelia vs Celaya?
Monarcas Morelia 2-0 Celaya in the Mexico - Primera A on 03/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Monarcas Morelia vs Celaya?
Before kick-off our model rated an Celaya win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Monarcas Morelia 26%, draw 23%, Celaya 51%. The final score 2-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.