Express vs NEC Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Express v NEC — Team-Based Signals
Express 2-1 NEC — Actual Match Statistics
Express edged past NEC 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.
Our pre-match lean was NEC at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Express had 33% of the ball to NEC's 67%, shots finished 5-15.
What was the final score of Express vs NEC?
Express 2-1 NEC in the Uganda - Premier League on 03/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Express vs NEC?
Before kick-off our model rated an NEC win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Express 23%, draw 35%, NEC 42%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.