Kitara vs Uganda Police Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Kitara v Uganda Police — Team-Based Signals
Kitara 0-1 Uganda Police — Actual Match Statistics
Uganda Police edged past Kitara 1-0 away from home.
Our pre-match lean was Kitara at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, Kitara had 62% of the ball to Uganda Police's 38%, shots finished 11-9.
What was the final score of Kitara vs Uganda Police?
Kitara 0-1 Uganda Police in the Uganda - Premier League on 03/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Kitara vs Uganda Police?
Before kick-off our model rated a Kitara win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Kitara 48%, draw 25%, Uganda Police 26%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.