Athlone Town 1-1 Dundalk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - 1st Division, 3 Oct 2025

📅03/10/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
10%
7.78
Draw
18%
5.15
Away
72%
1.28
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.43
Over 2.5
52%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.95
No
55%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
4.79
2-3 Goals
36%
1.91
4-5 Goals
25%
2.63
6+ Goals
12%
6.67
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
4%
1/2
8%
1/X
4%
X/1
3%
X/2
22%
X/X
8%
2/1
3%
2/2
42%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
10%
Home Win
10%
+0.0pp
18%
Draw
16%
+1.8pp
72%
Away Win
74%
-1.8pp
48%
Under 2.5
38%
+10.3pp
52%
Over 2.5
62%
-10.3pp
45%
BTTS Yes
47%
-1.8pp
55%
BTTS No
53%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Athlone Town EU Bookmakers 13%
Head to Head
AWAY Dundalk EU Bookmakers 78%
+5% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
0.94/1.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.04/0.66
+16% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +31%
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
245 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 354 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Athlone Town
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Dundalk
0.17 Avg Goals (FT) 3.83
41% Ball Possession 59%
6 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 1
08.08.2025 Dundalk Dundalk 6-1 HT 2-1 Athlone Town Athlone Town İR1
02.05.2025 Athlone Town Athlone Town 0-0 HT 0-0 Dundalk Dundalk İR1
14.02.2025 Dundalk Dundalk 1-0 HT 1-0 Athlone Town Athlone Town İR1
29.11.2020 Athlone Town Athlone Town 0-11 HT 0-6 Dundalk Dundalk İRK
10.10.2014 Athlone Town Athlone Town 0-3 HT 0-0 Dundalk Dundalk İRL
20.07.2014 Dundalk Dundalk 2-0 HT 2-0 Athlone Town Athlone Town İRL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Athlone Town
1-1
AWAY Dundalk
37% Ball Possession 63%
5 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 9
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Athlone Town vs Dundalk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Athlone Town and Dundalk couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Dundalk at 72% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Athlone Town had 37% of the ball to Dundalk's 63%, shots finished 5-14.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dundalk led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.17 goals for Athlone Town and 3.83 for Dundalk.

What was the final score of Athlone Town vs Dundalk?

Athlone Town 1-1 Dundalk in the Ireland - 1st Division on 03/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Athlone Town vs Dundalk?

Before kick-off our model rated an Dundalk win the most likely single outcome at about 72%, with the full match-result split Athlone Town 10%, draw 18%, Dundalk 72%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Dundalk) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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