Dundalk 1-0 Athlone Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - 1st Division, 14 Feb 2025

Dundalk
1-0 HT 1-0
Athlone Town
📅14/02/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✓ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Ireland - 1st Division – 2025

Dundalk vs Athlone Town Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.57
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
21%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.95
Over 2.5
50%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.85
No
53%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
29%
3.31
2-3 Goals
39%
1.74
4-5 Goals
21%
3.24
6+ Goals
11%
11.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.31 — our 29% vs market 23.3%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
6%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
59%
-4.0pp
24%
Draw
23%
+1.1pp
20%
Away Win
18%
+2.9pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+2.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-2.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
50%
-2.9pp
53%
BTTS No
50%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Dundalk v Athlone Town — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dundalk EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Athlone Town EU Bookmakers 21%
-17% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -5%
1.30/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.86
-30% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -18%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
370 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 222 · 67%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 3.0

Dundalk vs Athlone Town Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dundalk
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Athlone Town
4.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 2
The Meetings
29.11.2020 Athlone Town Athlone Town 0-11 HT 0-6 Dundalk Dundalk İRK
10.10.2014 Athlone Town Athlone Town 0-3 HT 0-0 Dundalk Dundalk İRL
20.07.2014 Dundalk Dundalk 2-0 HT 2-0 Athlone Town Athlone Town İRL
21.04.2014 Athlone Town Athlone Town 0-1 HT 0-0 Dundalk Dundalk İRL
06.11.2008 Dundalk Dundalk 7-0 HT 2-0 Athlone Town Athlone Town İR1
08.09.2008 Athlone Town Athlone Town 2-2 HT 1-2 Dundalk Dundalk İR1

Dundalk 1-0 Athlone Town — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dundalk
1-0
AWAY Athlone Town
56% Ball Possession 44%
9 Total Shots 3
5 Shots on Target 1
12 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Dundalk vs Athlone Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dundalk nicked a narrow win over Athlone Town 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Dundalk as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Dundalk had 56% of the ball to Athlone Town's 44%, shots finished 9-3.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dundalk had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 4.33 goals for Dundalk and 0.33 for Athlone Town.

What was the final score of Dundalk vs Athlone Town?

Dundalk 1-0 Athlone Town in the Ireland - 1st Division on 14/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dundalk vs Athlone Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dundalk win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Dundalk 55%, draw 24%, Athlone Town 20%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dundalk), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Dundalk) ✓ BTTS No
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