Univ College Dublin 3-0 Wexford Youths — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - 1st Division, 14 Feb 2025

📅14/02/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.09
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
36%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.86
Over 2.5
46%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.73
No
51%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.11
2-3 Goals
40%
1.74
4-5 Goals
20%
3.4
6+ Goals
11%
13.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.11 — our 29% vs market 25.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
9%
X/2
13%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
44%
-3.4pp
23%
Draw
27%
-3.6pp
36%
Away Win
29%
+7.0pp
54%
Under 2.5
50%
+4.2pp
46%
Over 2.5
50%
-4.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
54%
-4.9pp
51%
BTTS No
46%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Univ College Dublin EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Wexford Youths EU Bookmakers 32%
-4% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +2%
1.44/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/1.60
-6% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / -17%
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
358 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Univ College Dublin
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Wexford Youths
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
27.09.2024 Wexford Youths Wexford Youths 2-0 HT 1-0 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin İR1
02.08.2024 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin 1-1 HT 0-1 Wexford Youths Wexford Youths İR1
19.04.2024 Wexford Youths Wexford Youths 2-3 HT 1-2 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin İR1
08.03.2024 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin 1-2 HT 0-1 Wexford Youths Wexford Youths İR1
01.10.2021 Wexford Youths Wexford Youths 2-1 HT 1-0 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin İR1
09.07.2021 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin 2-1 HT 1-1 Wexford Youths Wexford Youths İR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Univ College Dublin
3-0
AWAY Wexford Youths
66% Ball Possession 34%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Univ College Dublin vs Wexford Youths
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Univ College Dublin swept aside Wexford Youths 3-0.

Our pre-match split (41% / 23% / 36%) promised a tight game; Univ College Dublin found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Univ College Dublin had 66% of the ball to Wexford Youths's 34%, shots finished 12-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Wexford Youths led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Univ College Dublin and 1.67 for Wexford Youths.

What was the final score of Univ College Dublin vs Wexford Youths?

Univ College Dublin 3-0 Wexford Youths in the Ireland - 1st Division on 14/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Univ College Dublin vs Wexford Youths?

Before kick-off our model rated a Univ College Dublin win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Univ College Dublin 41%, draw 23%, Wexford Youths 36%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Univ College Dublin), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Univ College Dublin) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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