Univ College Dublin 1-2 Wexford Youths — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - 1st Division, 8 Mar 2024

📅08/03/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.53
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
31%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.67
Over 2.5
40%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.85
No
52%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
2.75
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals
17%
4.24
6+ Goals
8%
21.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.75 — our 33% vs market 30.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
7%
X/X
20%
2/1
9%
2/2
18%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
36%
+3.0pp
31%
Draw
29%
+2.0pp
31%
Away Win
36%
-5.0pp
60%
Under 2.5
56%
+3.6pp
40%
Over 2.5
44%
-3.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
50%
-1.8pp
52%
BTTS No
50%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Univ College Dublin EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Wexford Youths EU Bookmakers 39%
+0% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +2%
1.46/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.26
+21% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / -8%
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
290 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 399 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Univ College Dublin
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Wexford Youths
3.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
60% Ball Possession 40%
12 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
01.10.2021 Wexford Youths Wexford Youths 2-1 HT 1-0 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin İR1
09.07.2021 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin 2-1 HT 1-1 Wexford Youths Wexford Youths İR1
30.04.2021 Wexford Youths Wexford Youths 0-6 HT 0-4 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin İR1
04.09.2020 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin 8-0 HT 4-0 Wexford Youths Wexford Youths İR1
21.02.2020 Wexford Youths Wexford Youths 1-1 HT 0-1 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin İR1
13.07.2018 Wexford Youths Wexford Youths 0-3 HT 0-2 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin İR1
POST-MATCH Univ College Dublin vs Wexford Youths
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wexford Youths nicked a narrow win over Univ College Dublin 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (39% / 31% / 31%) promised a tight game; Wexford Youths found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Univ College Dublin had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.50 goals for Univ College Dublin and 0.67 for Wexford Youths.

What was the final score of Univ College Dublin vs Wexford Youths?

Univ College Dublin 1-2 Wexford Youths in the Ireland - 1st Division on 08/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Univ College Dublin vs Wexford Youths?

Before kick-off our model rated a Univ College Dublin win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Univ College Dublin 39%, draw 31%, Wexford Youths 31%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Univ College Dublin) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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