Athlone Town 1-1 Kerry — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - 1st Division, 8 Mar 2024

📅08/03/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.75
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
24%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.1
Over 2.5
53%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.66
No
51%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.05
2-3 Goals
48%
1.84
4-5 Goals
23%
3.09
6+ Goals
7%
9.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
22%
X/2
7%
X/X
9%
2/1
11%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
53%
+0.6pp
23%
Draw
24%
-1.3pp
24%
Away Win
23%
+0.7pp
47%
Under 2.5
44%
+2.7pp
53%
Over 2.5
56%
-2.7pp
49%
BTTS Yes
56%
-7.6pp
51%
BTTS No
44%
+7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Athlone Town EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Kerry EU Bookmakers 27%
-22% / -30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-44% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
357 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Athlone Town
3W-0D-0L
AWAY Kerry
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 4
15.09.2023 Athlone Town Athlone Town 2-1 HT 1-1 Kerry İR1
09.06.2023 Kerry 0-1 HT 0-1 Athlone Town Athlone Town İR1
24.03.2023 Kerry 0-1 HT 0-0 Athlone Town Athlone Town İR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Athlone Town
1-1
AWAY Kerry
55% Ball Possession 45%
9 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Athlone Town vs Kerry
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Athlone Town and Kerry shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Athlone Town at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Athlone Town had 55% of the ball to Kerry's 45%, shots finished 9-5.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Athlone Town had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Athlone Town and 0.33 for Kerry.

What was the final score of Athlone Town vs Kerry?

Athlone Town 1-1 Kerry in the Ireland - 1st Division on 08/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Athlone Town vs Kerry?

Before kick-off our model rated a Athlone Town win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Athlone Town 53%, draw 23%, Kerry 24%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Athlone Town) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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