Univ College Dublin 1-1 Wexford Youths — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - 1st Division, 2 Aug 2024

📅02/08/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.19
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
38%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.91
Over 2.5
49%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.68
No
50%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.41
2-3 Goals
37%
1.79
4-5 Goals
25%
3.48
6+ Goals
11%
13.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.41 — our 27% vs market 23.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
18%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
42%
-5.6pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.6pp
38%
Away Win
32%
+6.2pp
51%
Under 2.5
48%
+2.9pp
49%
Over 2.5
52%
-2.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.5pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Univ College Dublin EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Wexford Youths EU Bookmakers 36%
+3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -25%
1.69/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.89
+21% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / -33%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
334 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Univ College Dublin
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Wexford Youths
3.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
19.04.2024 Wexford Youths Wexford Youths 2-3 HT 1-2 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin İR1
08.03.2024 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin 1-2 HT 0-1 Wexford Youths Wexford Youths İR1
01.10.2021 Wexford Youths Wexford Youths 2-1 HT 1-0 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin İR1
09.07.2021 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin 2-1 HT 1-1 Wexford Youths Wexford Youths İR1
30.04.2021 Wexford Youths Wexford Youths 0-6 HT 0-4 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin İR1
04.09.2020 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin 8-0 HT 4-0 Wexford Youths Wexford Youths İR1
POST-MATCH Univ College Dublin vs Wexford Youths
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Univ College Dublin and Wexford Youths shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 26% / 38% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Univ College Dublin had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 3.50 goals for Univ College Dublin and 1.17 for Wexford Youths.

What was the final score of Univ College Dublin vs Wexford Youths?

Univ College Dublin 1-1 Wexford Youths in the Ireland - 1st Division on 02/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Univ College Dublin vs Wexford Youths?

Before kick-off our model rated an Wexford Youths win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Univ College Dublin 36%, draw 26%, Wexford Youths 38%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Wexford Youths) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Wexford Youths) ✓ Under 2.5
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