Finn Harps 1-2 Bray Wanderers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - 1st Division, 2 Aug 2024

📅02/08/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.53
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
34%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.71
Over 2.5
43%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.82
No
57%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
35%
2.82
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
4.13
6+ Goals
9%
19.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.82 — our 35% vs market 29.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
14%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
36%
+2.1pp
28%
Draw
29%
-0.8pp
34%
Away Win
36%
-1.4pp
57%
Under 2.5
55%
+2.9pp
43%
Over 2.5
45%
-2.9pp
43%
BTTS Yes
51%
-7.4pp
57%
BTTS No
49%
+7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Finn Harps EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Bray Wanderers EU Bookmakers 39%
-8% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -12%
0.84/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.46
-37% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -12%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
267 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 261 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Finn Harps
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Bray Wanderers
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
42% Ball Possession 58%
7 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 1
06.05.2024 Bray Wanderers Bray Wanderers 1-0 HT 1-0 Finn Harps Finn Harps İR1
01.04.2024 Finn Harps Finn Harps 2-0 HT 1-0 Bray Wanderers Bray Wanderers İR1
20.10.2023 Bray Wanderers Bray Wanderers 1-1 HT 0-1 Finn Harps Finn Harps İR1
07.07.2023 Finn Harps Finn Harps 0-0 HT 0-0 Bray Wanderers Bray Wanderers İR1
12.05.2023 Bray Wanderers Bray Wanderers 2-0 HT 1-0 Finn Harps Finn Harps İR1
03.03.2023 Finn Harps Finn Harps 1-1 HT 1-1 Bray Wanderers Bray Wanderers İR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Finn Harps
1-2
AWAY Bray Wanderers
56% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Finn Harps vs Bray Wanderers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bray Wanderers nicked a narrow win over Finn Harps 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 28% / 34% — and on the day Bray Wanderers made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Finn Harps had 56% of the ball to Bray Wanderers's 44%, shots finished 11-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bray Wanderers led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Finn Harps and 0.83 for Bray Wanderers.

What was the final score of Finn Harps vs Bray Wanderers?

Finn Harps 1-2 Bray Wanderers in the Ireland - 1st Division on 02/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Finn Harps vs Bray Wanderers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Finn Harps win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Finn Harps 38%, draw 28%, Bray Wanderers 34%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Finn Harps) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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