Bray Wanderers 1-0 Finn Harps — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - 1st Division, 6 May 2024

📅06/05/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.05
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
28%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.64
Over 2.5
41%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.95
No
54%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.62
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
4.48
6+ Goals
7%
23.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
19%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
9%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
45%
+1.6pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.8pp
28%
Away Win
27%
+0.2pp
59%
Under 2.5
57%
+2.3pp
41%
Over 2.5
43%
-2.3pp
46%
BTTS Yes
47%
-1.6pp
54%
BTTS No
53%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bray Wanderers EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Finn Harps EU Bookmakers 31%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +36%
1.44/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.63/1.47
-4% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +30% / -2%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
298 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bray Wanderers
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Finn Harps
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
56% Ball Possession 44%
7 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
01.04.2024 Finn Harps Finn Harps 2-0 HT 1-0 Bray Wanderers Bray Wanderers İR1
20.10.2023 Bray Wanderers Bray Wanderers 1-1 HT 0-1 Finn Harps Finn Harps İR1
07.07.2023 Finn Harps Finn Harps 0-0 HT 0-0 Bray Wanderers Bray Wanderers İR1
12.05.2023 Bray Wanderers Bray Wanderers 2-0 HT 1-0 Finn Harps Finn Harps İR1
03.03.2023 Finn Harps Finn Harps 1-1 HT 1-1 Bray Wanderers Bray Wanderers İR1
29.08.2020 Bray Wanderers Bray Wanderers 0-2 HT 0-2 Finn Harps Finn Harps İRK
POST-MATCH Bray Wanderers vs Finn Harps
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bray Wanderers nicked a narrow win over Finn Harps 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Bray Wanderers as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Finn Harps led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Bray Wanderers and 1.00 for Finn Harps.

What was the final score of Bray Wanderers vs Finn Harps?

Bray Wanderers 1-0 Finn Harps in the Ireland - 1st Division on 06/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bray Wanderers vs Finn Harps?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bray Wanderers win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Bray Wanderers 46%, draw 26%, Finn Harps 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bray Wanderers), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Bray Wanderers) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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