Treaty United 0-1 Athlone Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - 1st Division, 6 May 2024

📅06/05/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.47
Draw
31%
3.18
Away
36%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.75
Over 2.5
41%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.76
No
52%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
31%
2.97
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
3.94
6+ Goals
7%
17.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.97 — our 31% vs market 27.9%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
17%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
37%
-4.3pp
31%
Draw
28%
+2.6pp
37%
Away Win
35%
+1.7pp
59%
Under 2.5
53%
+6.1pp
41%
Over 2.5
47%
-6.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-5.1pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Treaty United EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Athlone Town EU Bookmakers 38%
-8% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -7%
0.94/1.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.48/1.68
-29% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -28%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
272 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Treaty United
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Athlone Town
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
51% Ball Possession 49%
8 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
01.04.2024 Athlone Town Athlone Town 1-0 HT 1-0 Treaty United Treaty United İR1
22.09.2023 Treaty United Treaty United 4-1 HT 1-1 Athlone Town Athlone Town İR1
23.06.2023 Athlone Town Athlone Town 0-2 HT 0-1 Treaty United Treaty United İR1
05.05.2023 Treaty United Treaty United 2-1 HT 0-1 Athlone Town Athlone Town İR1
17.03.2023 Athlone Town Athlone Town 2-2 HT 0-0 Treaty United Treaty United İR1
19.08.2022 Athlone Town Athlone Town 2-0 HT 1-0 Treaty United Treaty United İR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Treaty United
0-1
AWAY Athlone Town
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Treaty United vs Athlone Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Athlone Town edged past Treaty United 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (33% / 31% / 37%) promised a tight game; Athlone Town found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Treaty United had 42% of the ball to Athlone Town's 58%, shots finished 11-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Treaty United had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Treaty United and 1.17 for Athlone Town.

What was the final score of Treaty United vs Athlone Town?

Treaty United 0-1 Athlone Town in the Ireland - 1st Division on 06/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Treaty United vs Athlone Town?

Before kick-off our model rated an Athlone Town win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Treaty United 33%, draw 31%, Athlone Town 37%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Athlone Town), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Athlone Town) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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