Athlone Town 1-0 Treaty United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - 1st Division, 1 Apr 2024

📅01/04/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.53
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
38%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.97
Over 2.5
39%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.63
No
54%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
32%
3.63
2-3 Goals
43%
1.81
4-5 Goals
17%
3.33
6+ Goals
8%
12.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.63 — our 32% vs market 22.3%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
17%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
36%
-1.0pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.0pp
38%
Away Win
37%
+1.0pp
61%
Under 2.5
47%
+13.7pp
39%
Over 2.5
53%
-13.7pp
46%
BTTS Yes
57%
-11.5pp
54%
BTTS No
43%
+11.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Athlone Town EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Treaty United EU Bookmakers 40%
-2% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +31% / +26%
2.09/1.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.77/0.60
+81% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / +119%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
335 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Athlone Town
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Treaty United
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
22.09.2023 Treaty United Treaty United 4-1 HT 1-1 Athlone Town Athlone Town İR1
23.06.2023 Athlone Town Athlone Town 0-2 HT 0-1 Treaty United Treaty United İR1
05.05.2023 Treaty United Treaty United 2-1 HT 0-1 Athlone Town Athlone Town İR1
17.03.2023 Athlone Town Athlone Town 2-2 HT 0-0 Treaty United Treaty United İR1
19.08.2022 Athlone Town Athlone Town 2-0 HT 1-0 Treaty United Treaty United İR1
17.06.2022 Treaty United Treaty United 2-1 HT 2-1 Athlone Town Athlone Town İR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Athlone Town
1-0
AWAY Treaty United
42% Ball Possession 58%
7 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Athlone Town vs Treaty United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Athlone Town squeezed past Treaty United 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 27% / 38% — and on the day Athlone Town made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%) came in.

On the day, Athlone Town had 42% of the ball to Treaty United's 58%, shots finished 7-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Treaty United led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Athlone Town and 2.00 for Treaty United.

What was the final score of Athlone Town vs Treaty United?

Athlone Town 1-0 Treaty United in the Ireland - 1st Division on 01/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Athlone Town vs Treaty United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Treaty United win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Athlone Town 35%, draw 27%, Treaty United 38%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Treaty United) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Treaty United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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