Univ College Dublin 1-1 Kerry — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - 1st Division, 1 Apr 2024

Univ College Dublin
1-1 HT 1-0
Kerry
📅01/04/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Ireland - 1st Division – 2024

Univ College Dublin vs Kerry Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.8
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
30%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.86
Over 2.5
48%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.81
No
52%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.22
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
3.65
6+ Goals
7%
15.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.22 — our 30% vs market 25.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
14%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
52%
-7.3pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.4pp
30%
Away Win
24%
+5.9pp
52%
Under 2.5
50%
+2.2pp
48%
Over 2.5
50%
-2.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.6pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Univ College Dublin v Kerry — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Univ College Dublin EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Kerry EU Bookmakers 27%
-3% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-10% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
354 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 73%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Univ College Dublin 1-1 Kerry — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Univ College Dublin
1-1
AWAY Kerry
61% Ball Possession 39%
12 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Univ College Dublin vs Kerry
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Univ College Dublin and Kerry shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Univ College Dublin at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Univ College Dublin had 61% of the ball to Kerry's 39%, shots finished 12-7.

What was the final score of Univ College Dublin vs Kerry?

Univ College Dublin 1-1 Kerry in the Ireland - 1st Division on 01/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Univ College Dublin vs Kerry?

Before kick-off our model rated a Univ College Dublin win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Univ College Dublin 44%, draw 26%, Kerry 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Univ College Dublin), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Univ College Dublin) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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