Finn Harps 2-0 Bray Wanderers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - 1st Division, 1 Apr 2024

📅01/04/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.09
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
30%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.97
Over 2.5
46%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.63
No
54%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
3.72
2-3 Goals
36%
1.82
4-5 Goals
21%
3.27
6+ Goals
11%
11.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.72 — our 32% vs market 21.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
44%
-2.8pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.1pp
30%
Away Win
30%
+0.7pp
54%
Under 2.5
47%
+7.1pp
46%
Over 2.5
53%
-7.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
57%
-10.9pp
54%
BTTS No
43%
+10.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Finn Harps EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Bray Wanderers EU Bookmakers 33%
-11% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +10%
0.49/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.39
-68% / +38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -7%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
250 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Finn Harps
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Bray Wanderers
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
45% Ball Possession 55%
6 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
20.10.2023 Bray Wanderers Bray Wanderers 1-1 HT 0-1 Finn Harps Finn Harps İR1
07.07.2023 Finn Harps Finn Harps 0-0 HT 0-0 Bray Wanderers Bray Wanderers İR1
12.05.2023 Bray Wanderers Bray Wanderers 2-0 HT 1-0 Finn Harps Finn Harps İR1
03.03.2023 Finn Harps Finn Harps 1-1 HT 1-1 Bray Wanderers Bray Wanderers İR1
29.08.2020 Bray Wanderers Bray Wanderers 0-2 HT 0-2 Finn Harps Finn Harps İRK
10.08.2018 Bray Wanderers Bray Wanderers 1-1 HT 1-0 Finn Harps Finn Harps İRK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Finn Harps
2-0
AWAY Bray Wanderers
39% Ball Possession 61%
10 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Finn Harps vs Bray Wanderers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Finn Harps got the better of Bray Wanderers 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Finn Harps as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Finn Harps had 39% of the ball to Bray Wanderers's 61%, shots finished 10-5.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Finn Harps and 0.83 for Bray Wanderers.

What was the final score of Finn Harps vs Bray Wanderers?

Finn Harps 2-0 Bray Wanderers in the Ireland - 1st Division on 01/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Finn Harps vs Bray Wanderers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Finn Harps win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Finn Harps 41%, draw 28%, Bray Wanderers 30%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Finn Harps), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Finn Harps) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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