Cobh Ramblers 1-0 Longford Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - 1st Division, 2 Aug 2024

📅02/08/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.86
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
34%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.0
Over 2.5
48%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.66
No
51%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
28%
3.77
2-3 Goals
41%
1.82
4-5 Goals
22%
3.23
6+ Goals
9%
11.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.77 — our 28% vs market 21.3%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
50%
-9.7pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.6pp
34%
Away Win
25%
+9.0pp
52%
Under 2.5
46%
+5.9pp
48%
Over 2.5
54%
-5.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
56%
-7.1pp
51%
BTTS No
44%
+7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cobh Ramblers EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Longford Town EU Bookmakers 28%
+4% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -5%
1.97/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.62
+30% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -14%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
386 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cobh Ramblers
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Longford Town
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.17
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 2
25.05.2024 Longford Town Longford Town 0-0 HT 0-0 Cobh Ramblers Cobh Ramblers İR1
01.04.2024 Cobh Ramblers Cobh Ramblers 1-1 HT 0-1 Longford Town Longford Town İR1
06.10.2023 Cobh Ramblers Cobh Ramblers 2-0 HT 1-0 Longford Town Longford Town İR1
29.07.2023 Longford Town Longford Town 0-1 HT 0-1 Cobh Ramblers Cobh Ramblers İR1
05.06.2023 Cobh Ramblers Cobh Ramblers 1-0 HT 0-0 Longford Town Longford Town İR1
04.03.2023 Longford Town Longford Town 0-0 HT 0-0 Cobh Ramblers Cobh Ramblers İR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cobh Ramblers
1-0
AWAY Longford Town
54% Ball Possession 46%
8 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Cobh Ramblers vs Longford Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cobh Ramblers nicked a narrow win over Longford Town 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (40% / 26% / 34%) promised a tight game; Cobh Ramblers found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Cobh Ramblers had 54% of the ball to Longford Town's 46%, shots finished 8-13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cobh Ramblers had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Cobh Ramblers and 0.17 for Longford Town.

What was the final score of Cobh Ramblers vs Longford Town?

Cobh Ramblers 1-0 Longford Town in the Ireland - 1st Division on 02/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cobh Ramblers vs Longford Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cobh Ramblers win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Cobh Ramblers 40%, draw 26%, Longford Town 34%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cobh Ramblers), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Cobh Ramblers) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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