Wexford Youths 2-0 Univ College Dublin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - 1st Division, 27 Sep 2024

📅27/09/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.25
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
34%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.71
Over 2.5
42%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.82
No
57%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
2.82
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
4.14
6+ Goals
8%
19.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.82 — our 33% vs market 29.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
41%
+0.5pp
24%
Draw
28%
-3.7pp
34%
Away Win
31%
+3.2pp
58%
Under 2.5
55%
+3.1pp
42%
Over 2.5
45%
-3.1pp
43%
BTTS Yes
51%
-8.4pp
57%
BTTS No
49%
+8.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wexford Youths EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Univ College Dublin EU Bookmakers 34%
-1% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +26%
1.71/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.75/1.16
+25% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +46% / +14%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
356 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wexford Youths
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Univ College Dublin
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
02.08.2024 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin 1-1 HT 0-1 Wexford Youths Wexford Youths İR1
19.04.2024 Wexford Youths Wexford Youths 2-3 HT 1-2 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin İR1
08.03.2024 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin 1-2 HT 0-1 Wexford Youths Wexford Youths İR1
01.10.2021 Wexford Youths Wexford Youths 2-1 HT 1-0 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin İR1
09.07.2021 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin 2-1 HT 1-1 Wexford Youths Wexford Youths İR1
30.04.2021 Wexford Youths Wexford Youths 0-6 HT 0-4 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin İR1
POST-MATCH Wexford Youths vs Univ College Dublin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wexford Youths got the better of Univ College Dublin 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Wexford Youths as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Univ College Dublin led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Wexford Youths and 2.33 for Univ College Dublin.

What was the final score of Wexford Youths vs Univ College Dublin?

Wexford Youths 2-0 Univ College Dublin in the Ireland - 1st Division on 27/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wexford Youths vs Univ College Dublin?

Before kick-off our model rated a Wexford Youths win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Wexford Youths 41%, draw 24%, Univ College Dublin 34%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Wexford Youths), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Wexford Youths) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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