Bray Wanderers 3-3 Cork City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - 1st Division, 27 Sep 2024

📅27/09/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.32
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
44%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.71
Over 2.5
47%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.85
No
51%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
2.85
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
4.1
6+ Goals
8%
19.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.85 — our 33% vs market 29.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
22%
X/X
12%
2/1
10%
2/2
12%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
27%
+0.7pp
29%
Draw
27%
+2.0pp
44%
Away Win
46%
-2.8pp
53%
Under 2.5
55%
-2.1pp
47%
Over 2.5
45%
+2.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
50%
-1.0pp
51%
BTTS No
50%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bray Wanderers EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Cork City EU Bookmakers 50%
-23% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +2%
1.35/2.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.72/0.77
+9% / -42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +72%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
287 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bray Wanderers
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Cork City
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
44% Ball Possession 55%
7 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 0
28.06.2024 Cork City Cork City 1-0 HT 1-0 Bray Wanderers Bray Wanderers İR1
17.05.2024 Bray Wanderers Bray Wanderers 1-3 HT 0-3 Cork City Cork City İR1
15.03.2024 Cork City Cork City 2-0 HT 2-0 Bray Wanderers Bray Wanderers İR1
21.10.2022 Cork City Cork City 2-0 HT 0-0 Bray Wanderers Bray Wanderers İR1
01.07.2022 Bray Wanderers Bray Wanderers 1-3 HT 0-2 Cork City Cork City İR1
15.04.2022 Cork City Cork City 0-0 HT 0-0 Bray Wanderers Bray Wanderers İR1
POST-MATCH Bray Wanderers vs Cork City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bray Wanderers and Cork City shared the points in a 3-3 draw. Half-time: 2-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Cork City at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cork City led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Bray Wanderers and 1.83 for Cork City.

What was the final score of Bray Wanderers vs Cork City?

Bray Wanderers 3-3 Cork City in the Ireland - 1st Division on 27/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bray Wanderers vs Cork City?

Before kick-off our model rated an Cork City win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Bray Wanderers 27%, draw 29%, Cork City 44%. The final score 3-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Cork City) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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