Kerry 1-1 Finn Harps — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - 1st Division, 27 Sep 2024

📅27/09/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.94
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
37%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.74
Over 2.5
44%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.82
No
48%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2.91
2-3 Goals
43%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
4.01
6+ Goals
11%
18.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
10%
1/X
5%
X/1
8%
X/2
12%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
30%
+2.0pp
30%
Draw
27%
+3.4pp
37%
Away Win
42%
-5.5pp
56%
Under 2.5
54%
+1.9pp
44%
Over 2.5
46%
-1.9pp
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.8pp
48%
BTTS No
49%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kerry EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Finn Harps EU Bookmakers 46%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -19%
1.56/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.52/1.44
+21% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -71% / -12%
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
236 · 65% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 68%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.5 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kerry
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Finn Harps
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 2
04.07.2024 Finn Harps Finn Harps 1-0 HT 1-0 Kerry İR1
24.05.2024 Kerry 2-0 HT 0-0 Finn Harps Finn Harps İR1
22.03.2024 Finn Harps Finn Harps 0-0 HT 0-0 Kerry İR1
29.09.2023 Finn Harps Finn Harps 2-1 HT 0-0 Kerry İR1
28.07.2023 Kerry 1-2 HT 0-0 Finn Harps Finn Harps İR1
07.04.2023 Kerry 1-1 HT 1-0 Finn Harps Finn Harps İR1
POST-MATCH Kerry vs Finn Harps
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kerry and Finn Harps couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 30% / 37% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Finn Harps led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Kerry and 1.00 for Finn Harps.

What was the final score of Kerry vs Finn Harps?

Kerry 1-1 Finn Harps in the Ireland - 1st Division on 27/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kerry vs Finn Harps?

Before kick-off our model rated an Finn Harps win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Kerry 32%, draw 30%, Finn Harps 37%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Finn Harps) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Finn Harps) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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