Finn Harps 0-0 Kerry — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - 1st Division, 22 Mar 2024

📅22/03/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.66
Draw
28%
3.64
Away
24%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.82
Over 2.5
40%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.85
No
57%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
35%
3.17
2-3 Goals
37%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
3.7
6+ Goals
8%
15.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.17 — our 35% vs market 25.9%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
7%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
56%
-8.3pp
28%
Draw
24%
+4.1pp
24%
Away Win
20%
+4.2pp
60%
Under 2.5
51%
+8.9pp
40%
Over 2.5
49%
-8.8pp
43%
BTTS Yes
50%
-6.7pp
57%
BTTS No
50%
+6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Finn Harps EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Kerry EU Bookmakers 23%
+5% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
2.11/0.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.31
+17% / +49% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +21%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
369 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 0.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Finn Harps
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Kerry
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
45% Ball Possession 55%
3 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
29.09.2023 Finn Harps Finn Harps 2-1 HT 0-0 Kerry İR1
28.07.2023 Kerry 1-2 HT 0-0 Finn Harps Finn Harps İR1
07.04.2023 Kerry 1-1 HT 1-0 Finn Harps Finn Harps İR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Finn Harps
0-0
AWAY Kerry
64% Ball Possession 36%
9 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
10 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Finn Harps vs Kerry
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Finn Harps and Kerry fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Finn Harps at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Finn Harps had 64% of the ball to Kerry's 36%, shots finished 9-10.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Finn Harps had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Finn Harps and 1.00 for Kerry.

What was the final score of Finn Harps vs Kerry?

Finn Harps 0-0 Kerry in the Ireland - 1st Division on 22/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Finn Harps vs Kerry?

Before kick-off our model rated a Finn Harps win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Finn Harps 48%, draw 28%, Kerry 24%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Finn Harps) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Finn Harps) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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