Athlone Town 3-3 Longford Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - 1st Division, 22 Mar 2024

📅22/03/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.8
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
36%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.75
Over 2.5
38%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.81
No
59%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
35%
2.94
2-3 Goals
37%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
3.97
6+ Goals
8%
18.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.94 — our 35% vs market 28.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
18%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
32%
+5.4pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.5pp
37%
Away Win
40%
-2.9pp
62%
Under 2.5
53%
+8.7pp
38%
Over 2.5
47%
-8.7pp
41%
BTTS Yes
51%
-10.0pp
59%
BTTS No
49%
+10.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Athlone Town EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Longford Town EU Bookmakers 43%
+1% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +0%
2.12/1.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/1.13
+85% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +17%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
297 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Athlone Town
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Longford Town
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
20.10.2023 Athlone Town Athlone Town 0-0 HT 0-0 Longford Town Longford Town İR1
12.08.2023 Longford Town Longford Town 2-3 HT 1-1 Athlone Town Athlone Town İR1
02.06.2023 Athlone Town Athlone Town 1-0 HT 1-0 Longford Town Longford Town İR1
18.02.2023 Longford Town Longford Town 1-3 HT 1-1 Athlone Town Athlone Town İR1
30.09.2022 Athlone Town Athlone Town 2-2 HT 2-1 Longford Town Longford Town İR1
16.07.2022 Longford Town Longford Town 1-3 HT 0-1 Athlone Town Athlone Town İR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Athlone Town
3-3
AWAY Longford Town
54% Ball Possession 46%
8 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Athlone Town vs Longford Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Athlone Town and Longford Town shared the points in a 3-3 draw. Half-time: 0-3. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (38% / 26% / 37%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Athlone Town had 54% of the ball to Longford Town's 46%, shots finished 8-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Athlone Town had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Athlone Town and 1.00 for Longford Town.

What was the final score of Athlone Town vs Longford Town?

Athlone Town 3-3 Longford Town in the Ireland - 1st Division on 22/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Athlone Town vs Longford Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Athlone Town win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Athlone Town 38%, draw 26%, Longford Town 37%. The final score 3-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Athlone Town) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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