Bray Wanderers 3-4 Wexford Youths — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - 1st Division, 22 Mar 2024

📅22/03/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.67
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
40%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.86
Over 2.5
44%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.7
No
57%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.29
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
3.58
6+ Goals
8%
14.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.29 — our 28% vs market 24.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
7%
X/2
18%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
34%
+1.0pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.2pp
40%
Away Win
40%
-0.8pp
56%
Under 2.5
50%
+6.1pp
44%
Over 2.5
50%
-6.1pp
43%
BTTS Yes
55%
-11.8pp
57%
BTTS No
45%
+11.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bray Wanderers EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Wexford Youths EU Bookmakers 45%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -4%
1.06/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.55
-15% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / -18%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
280 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bray Wanderers
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Wexford Youths
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
58% Ball Possession 42%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 2
31.01.2024 Bray Wanderers Bray Wanderers 1-0 HT 0-0 Wexford Youths Wexford Youths IRLLSC
22.09.2023 Wexford Youths Wexford Youths 2-1 HT 1-0 Bray Wanderers Bray Wanderers İR1
14.07.2023 Bray Wanderers Bray Wanderers 0-3 HT 0-1 Wexford Youths Wexford Youths İR1
05.05.2023 Wexford Youths Wexford Youths 1-1 HT 0-0 Bray Wanderers Bray Wanderers İR1
24.03.2023 Bray Wanderers Bray Wanderers 3-2 HT 2-2 Wexford Youths Wexford Youths İR1
30.09.2022 Wexford Youths Wexford Youths 4-2 HT 2-0 Bray Wanderers Bray Wanderers İR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bray Wanderers
3-4
AWAY Wexford Youths
46% Ball Possession 54%
5 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 1
4 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Bray Wanderers vs Wexford Youths
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wexford Youths edged past Bray Wanderers 4-3 away from home. Half-time: 2-3. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 26% / 40% — and on the day Wexford Youths made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Bray Wanderers had 46% of the ball to Wexford Youths's 54%, shots finished 5-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Wexford Youths led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Bray Wanderers and 2.00 for Wexford Youths.

What was the final score of Bray Wanderers vs Wexford Youths?

Bray Wanderers 3-4 Wexford Youths in the Ireland - 1st Division on 22/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bray Wanderers vs Wexford Youths?

Before kick-off our model rated an Wexford Youths win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Bray Wanderers 34%, draw 26%, Wexford Youths 40%. The final score 3-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Wexford Youths) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Wexford Youths) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İR1 More Ireland - 1st Division
22 Mar 2024
22:45 Cobh Ramblers vs Univ College Dublin Analysis →
22:45 Athlone Town vs Longford Town Analysis →
22:45 Treaty United vs Cork City Analysis →
22:45 Finn Harps vs Kerry Analysis →