Kerry 2-0 Finn Harps — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - 1st Division, 24 May 2024

Kerry
2-0 HT 0-0
Finn Harps
📅24/05/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Ireland - 1st Division – 2024

Kerry vs Finn Harps Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.84
Draw
22%
3.18
Away
43%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.67
Over 2.5
37%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
1.85
No
64%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
2.73
2-3 Goals
44%
1.77
4-5 Goals
15%
4.29
6+ Goals
7%
21.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.73 — our 34% vs market 30.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
17%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
19%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
32%
+3.4pp
22%
Draw
28%
-5.8pp
43%
Away Win
41%
+2.5pp
63%
Under 2.5
56%
+7.2pp
37%
Over 2.5
44%
-7.2pp
36%
BTTS Yes
50%
-13.8pp
64%
BTTS No
50%
+13.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Kerry v Finn Harps — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kerry EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Finn Harps EU Bookmakers 45%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -2%
1.42/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.46/1.02
+12% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -70% / +31%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
329 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 74%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
0.0 Yellow Cards 1.5

Kerry vs Finn Harps Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kerry
0W-2D-2L
AWAY Finn Harps
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
46% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
22.03.2024 Finn Harps Finn Harps 0-0 HT 0-0 Kerry İR1
29.09.2023 Finn Harps Finn Harps 2-1 HT 0-0 Kerry İR1
28.07.2023 Kerry 1-2 HT 0-0 Finn Harps Finn Harps İR1
07.04.2023 Kerry 1-1 HT 1-0 Finn Harps Finn Harps İR1
POST-MATCH Kerry vs Finn Harps
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kerry saw off Finn Harps 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Finn Harps at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (64%) came in.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Finn Harps led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Kerry and 1.25 for Finn Harps.

What was the final score of Kerry vs Finn Harps?

Kerry 2-0 Finn Harps in the Ireland - 1st Division on 24/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kerry vs Finn Harps?

Before kick-off our model rated an Finn Harps win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Kerry 35%, draw 22%, Finn Harps 43%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Finn Harps) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Finn Harps) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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