Athlone Town 2-2 Univ College Dublin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - 1st Division, 24 May 2024

📅24/05/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.67
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
38%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.86
Over 2.5
38%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.73
No
59%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
3.24
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
19%
3.63
6+ Goals
8%
14.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.24 — our 32% vs market 25.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
17%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
34%
+1.8pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.3pp
38%
Away Win
39%
-1.6pp
62%
Under 2.5
50%
+12.1pp
38%
Over 2.5
50%
-12.1pp
41%
BTTS Yes
54%
-12.6pp
59%
BTTS No
46%
+12.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Athlone Town EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Univ College Dublin EU Bookmakers 43%
+5% / +26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +20% / +28%
1.99/1.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.09/0.71
+67% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +43% / +94%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
280 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 5.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Athlone Town
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Univ College Dublin
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 3.33
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
15.03.2024 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin 3-0 HT 2-0 Athlone Town Athlone Town İR1
13.08.2021 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin 6-0 HT 2-0 Athlone Town Athlone Town İR1
28.05.2021 Athlone Town Athlone Town 2-3 HT 2-1 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin İR1
26.03.2021 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin 2-2 HT 1-1 Athlone Town Athlone Town İR1
09.10.2020 Athlone Town Athlone Town 2-4 HT 1-0 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin İR1
17.08.2020 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin 2-1 HT 1-1 Athlone Town Athlone Town İR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Athlone Town
2-2
AWAY Univ College Dublin
33% Ball Possession 67%
4 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Athlone Town vs Univ College Dublin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Athlone Town and Univ College Dublin couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 27% / 38% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Athlone Town had 33% of the ball to Univ College Dublin's 67%, shots finished 4-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Univ College Dublin led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Athlone Town and 3.33 for Univ College Dublin.

What was the final score of Athlone Town vs Univ College Dublin?

Athlone Town 2-2 Univ College Dublin in the Ireland - 1st Division on 24/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Athlone Town vs Univ College Dublin?

Before kick-off our model rated an Univ College Dublin win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Athlone Town 36%, draw 27%, Univ College Dublin 38%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Univ College Dublin) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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