Univ College Dublin 3-0 Athlone Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - 1st Division, 15 Mar 2024

Univ College Dublin
3-0 HT 2-0
Athlone Town
📅15/03/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Ireland - 1st Division – 2024

Univ College Dublin vs Athlone Town Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.47
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
31%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.82
Over 2.5
49%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.73
No
51%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.21
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
3.66
6+ Goals
11%
15.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.21 — our 27% vs market 25.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
18%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
37%
+6.5pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.4pp
31%
Away Win
36%
-5.3pp
51%
Under 2.5
51%
+0.1pp
49%
Over 2.5
49%
-0.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
54%
-4.5pp
51%
BTTS No
46%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Univ College Dublin v Athlone Town — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Univ College Dublin EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Athlone Town EU Bookmakers 40%
-5% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.37/1.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.77/1.45
+14% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / -20%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
238 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 74%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.5

Univ College Dublin vs Athlone Town Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Univ College Dublin
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Athlone Town
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
60% Ball Possession 40%
18 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 2
The Meetings
13.08.2021 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin 6-0 HT 2-0 Athlone Town Athlone Town İR1
28.05.2021 Athlone Town Athlone Town 2-3 HT 2-1 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin İR1
26.03.2021 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin 2-2 HT 1-1 Athlone Town Athlone Town İR1
09.10.2020 Athlone Town Athlone Town 2-4 HT 1-0 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin İR1
17.08.2020 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin 2-1 HT 1-1 Athlone Town Athlone Town İR1
27.07.2018 Athlone Town Athlone Town 0-1 HT 0-1 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin İR1

Univ College Dublin 3-0 Athlone Town — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Univ College Dublin
3-0
AWAY Athlone Town
56% Ball Possession 44%
8 Total Shots 4
5 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Univ College Dublin vs Athlone Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Univ College Dublin cruised past Athlone Town 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Univ College Dublin as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Univ College Dublin had 56% of the ball to Athlone Town's 44%, shots finished 8-4.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Univ College Dublin had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Univ College Dublin and 1.17 for Athlone Town.

What was the final score of Univ College Dublin vs Athlone Town?

Univ College Dublin 3-0 Athlone Town in the Ireland - 1st Division on 15/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Univ College Dublin vs Athlone Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Univ College Dublin win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Univ College Dublin 43%, draw 26%, Athlone Town 31%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Univ College Dublin), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Univ College Dublin) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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