Wexford Youths 1-2 Finn Harps — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - 1st Division, 15 Mar 2024

Wexford Youths
1-2 HT 1-0
Finn Harps
📅15/03/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Ireland - 1st Division – 2024

Wexford Youths vs Finn Harps Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.92
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
29%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.86
Over 2.5
53%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.75
No
48%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.27
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
28%
3.61
6+ Goals
9%
14.6
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.61 — our 28% vs market 22.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
10%
2/2
15%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
48%
-3.3pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.0pp
29%
Away Win
26%
+2.2pp
47%
Under 2.5
50%
-2.9pp
53%
Over 2.5
50%
+2.9pp
52%
BTTS Yes
53%
-0.9pp
48%
BTTS No
47%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Wexford Youths v Finn Harps — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wexford Youths EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Finn Harps EU Bookmakers 30%
+3% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +26%
1.69/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.67/1.81
+8% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +30% / -23%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
336 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 186 · 59%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
0.4 Yellow Cards 2.6

Wexford Youths vs Finn Harps Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wexford Youths
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Finn Harps
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
5 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
01.09.2023 Wexford Youths Wexford Youths 1-1 HT 0-0 Finn Harps Finn Harps İR1
23.06.2023 Finn Harps Finn Harps 0-1 HT 0-0 Wexford Youths Wexford Youths İR1
21.04.2023 Wexford Youths Wexford Youths 0-1 HT 0-0 Finn Harps Finn Harps İR1
10.03.2023 Finn Harps Finn Harps 0-0 HT 0-0 Wexford Youths Wexford Youths İR1
03.08.2018 Finn Harps Finn Harps 3-0 HT 2-0 Wexford Youths Wexford Youths İR1
25.05.2018 Wexford Youths Wexford Youths 1-1 HT 0-0 Finn Harps Finn Harps İR1
POST-MATCH Wexford Youths vs Finn Harps
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Finn Harps nicked a narrow win over Wexford Youths 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Wexford Youths at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Finn Harps led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Wexford Youths and 1.00 for Finn Harps.

What was the final score of Wexford Youths vs Finn Harps?

Wexford Youths 1-2 Finn Harps in the Ireland - 1st Division on 15/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wexford Youths vs Finn Harps?

Before kick-off our model rated a Wexford Youths win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Wexford Youths 45%, draw 27%, Finn Harps 29%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Wexford Youths) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Wexford Youths) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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