Treaty United 3-1 Longford Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - 1st Division, 27 Sep 2024

📅27/09/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.05
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
30%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.1
Over 2.5
51%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.6
No
46%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.08
2-3 Goals
39%
1.85
4-5 Goals
26%
3.07
6+ Goals
11%
9.78
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
12%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
45%
+2.0pp
24%
Draw
25%
-0.9pp
30%
Away Win
31%
-1.1pp
49%
Under 2.5
44%
+5.2pp
51%
Over 2.5
56%
-5.2pp
54%
BTTS Yes
58%
-4.2pp
46%
BTTS No
42%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Treaty United EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Longford Town EU Bookmakers 34%
+3% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -16%
1.34/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.41
-8% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / -8%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
272 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 68%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Treaty United
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Longford Town
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
10.08.2024 Longford Town Longford Town 1-4 HT 1-3 Treaty United Treaty United İR1
31.05.2024 Treaty United Treaty United 1-0 HT 0-0 Longford Town Longford Town İR1
13.05.2024 Longford Town Longford Town 2-1 HT 0-1 Treaty United Treaty United İR1
30.09.2023 Longford Town Longford Town 2-3 HT 0-0 Treaty United Treaty United İR1
04.08.2023 Treaty United Treaty United 2-3 HT 2-1 Longford Town Longford Town İR1
13.05.2023 Longford Town Longford Town 0-3 HT 0-1 Treaty United Treaty United İR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Treaty United
3-1
AWAY Longford Town
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Treaty United vs Longford Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Treaty United saw off Longford Town 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Treaty United as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Treaty United had 50% of the ball to Longford Town's 50%, shots finished 15-13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Treaty United had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Treaty United and 1.33 for Longford Town.

What was the final score of Treaty United vs Longford Town?

Treaty United 3-1 Longford Town in the Ireland - 1st Division on 27/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Treaty United vs Longford Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Treaty United win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Treaty United 47%, draw 24%, Longford Town 30%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Treaty United), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Treaty United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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