Treaty United 1-0 Longford Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - 1st Division, 31 May 2024

📅31/05/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.19
Draw
31%
3.18
Away
33%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.78
Over 2.5
42%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.76
No
53%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
34%
3.04
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
3.85
6+ Goals
8%
16.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.04 — our 34% vs market 27.2%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
8%
X/X
22%
2/1
5%
2/2
20%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
42%
-5.5pp
31%
Draw
28%
+2.9pp
33%
Away Win
30%
+2.7pp
58%
Under 2.5
52%
+5.4pp
42%
Over 2.5
48%
-5.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
53%
-5.4pp
53%
BTTS No
47%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Treaty United EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Longford Town EU Bookmakers 34%
-5% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -5%
1.34/1.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.40
-7% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / -6%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
295 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Treaty United
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Longford Town
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
13.05.2024 Longford Town Longford Town 2-1 HT 0-1 Treaty United Treaty United İR1
30.09.2023 Longford Town Longford Town 2-3 HT 0-0 Treaty United Treaty United İR1
04.08.2023 Treaty United Treaty United 2-3 HT 2-1 Longford Town Longford Town İR1
13.05.2023 Longford Town Longford Town 0-3 HT 0-1 Treaty United Treaty United İR1
07.04.2023 Treaty United Treaty United 3-2 HT 1-1 Longford Town Longford Town İR1
24.09.2022 Longford Town Longford Town 1-1 HT 1-1 Treaty United Treaty United İR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Treaty United
1-0
AWAY Longford Town
48% Ball Possession 52%
15 Total Shots 11
9 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Treaty United vs Longford Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Treaty United nicked a narrow win over Longford Town 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (36% / 31% / 33%) promised a tight game; Treaty United found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Treaty United had 48% of the ball to Longford Town's 52%, shots finished 15-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Treaty United had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Treaty United and 1.67 for Longford Town.

What was the final score of Treaty United vs Longford Town?

Treaty United 1-0 Longford Town in the Ireland - 1st Division on 31/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Treaty United vs Longford Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Treaty United win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Treaty United 36%, draw 31%, Longford Town 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Treaty United), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Treaty United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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