Longford Town 1-4 Treaty United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - 1st Division, 10 Aug 2024

📅10/08/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.46
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
42%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.8
Over 2.5
43%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.82
No
56%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
3.07
2-3 Goals
44%
1.78
4-5 Goals
15%
3.81
6+ Goals
8%
16.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.07 — our 33% vs market 26.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
19%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
26%
+5.6pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.1pp
42%
Away Win
49%
-6.7pp
57%
Under 2.5
52%
+5.6pp
43%
Over 2.5
48%
-5.6pp
44%
BTTS Yes
51%
-6.4pp
56%
BTTS No
49%
+6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Longford Town EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Treaty United EU Bookmakers 53%
-7% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -44% / -44%
1.03/1.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.55/1.58
-21% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -70% / -24%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
338 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 388 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Longford Town
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Treaty United
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
31.05.2024 Treaty United Treaty United 1-0 HT 0-0 Longford Town Longford Town İR1
13.05.2024 Longford Town Longford Town 2-1 HT 0-1 Treaty United Treaty United İR1
30.09.2023 Longford Town Longford Town 2-3 HT 0-0 Treaty United Treaty United İR1
04.08.2023 Treaty United Treaty United 2-3 HT 2-1 Longford Town Longford Town İR1
13.05.2023 Longford Town Longford Town 0-3 HT 0-1 Treaty United Treaty United İR1
07.04.2023 Treaty United Treaty United 3-2 HT 1-1 Longford Town Longford Town İR1
POST-MATCH Longford Town vs Treaty United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Treaty United swept aside Longford Town 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-3. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Treaty United as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Treaty United led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Longford Town and 2.17 for Treaty United.

What was the final score of Longford Town vs Treaty United?

Longford Town 1-4 Treaty United in the Ireland - 1st Division on 10/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Longford Town vs Treaty United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Treaty United win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Longford Town 31%, draw 27%, Treaty United 42%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Treaty United) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Treaty United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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