Kerry 2-0 Finn Harps — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - 1st Division, 14 Feb 2025

📅14/02/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.19
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
30%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.74
Over 2.5
45%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.81
No
56%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
2.76
2-3 Goals
38%
1.72
4-5 Goals
22%
3.78
6+ Goals
8%
17.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.76 — our 32% vs market 28.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
5%
1/X
11%
X/1
21%
X/2
13%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
42%
-1.0pp
29%
Draw
27%
+2.1pp
30%
Away Win
31%
-1.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
54%
+1.1pp
45%
Over 2.5
46%
-1.1pp
44%
BTTS Yes
51%
-7.3pp
56%
BTTS No
49%
+7.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kerry EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Finn Harps EU Bookmakers 34%
+14% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +20%
1.61/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.11
+12% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +22%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
316 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.1 Yellow Cards 3.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kerry
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Finn Harps
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 2
27.09.2024 Kerry 1-1 HT 0-0 Finn Harps Finn Harps İR1
04.07.2024 Finn Harps Finn Harps 1-0 HT 1-0 Kerry İR1
24.05.2024 Kerry 2-0 HT 0-0 Finn Harps Finn Harps İR1
22.03.2024 Finn Harps Finn Harps 0-0 HT 0-0 Kerry İR1
29.09.2023 Finn Harps Finn Harps 2-1 HT 0-0 Kerry İR1
28.07.2023 Kerry 1-2 HT 0-0 Finn Harps Finn Harps İR1
POST-MATCH Kerry vs Finn Harps
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kerry saw off Finn Harps 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Kerry as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Finn Harps led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Kerry and 1.00 for Finn Harps.

What was the final score of Kerry vs Finn Harps?

Kerry 2-0 Finn Harps in the Ireland - 1st Division on 14/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kerry vs Finn Harps?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kerry win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Kerry 41%, draw 29%, Finn Harps 30%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kerry), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Kerry) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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