IK Tord 2-1 Vanersborgs FK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 3 Oct 2025

📅03/10/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.82
Draw
18%
3.64
Away
19%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.18
Over 2.5
59%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.6
No
42%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
20%
X/2
4%
X/X
8%
2/1
15%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
51%
+12.6pp
18%
Draw
24%
-6.0pp
19%
Away Win
25%
-6.5pp
41%
Under 2.5
42%
-1.0pp
59%
Over 2.5
58%
+1.0pp
58%
BTTS Yes
58%
-0.5pp
42%
BTTS No
42%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME IK Tord EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Vanersborgs FK EU Bookmakers 29%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +21% / +19%
1.17/0.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.45/1.44
-40% / +105% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +32%
50% Ball Possession 50%
17 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
326 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 0.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME IK Tord
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Vanersborgs FK
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
56% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 5
12 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 0
09.05.2025 Vanersborgs FK Vanersborgs FK 1-0 HT 1-0 IK Tord IK Tord İSÇ4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME IK Tord
2-1
AWAY Vanersborgs FK
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH IK Tord vs Vanersborgs FK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

IK Tord edged past Vanersborgs FK 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had IK Tord as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, IK Tord had 55% of the ball to Vanersborgs FK's 45%, shots finished 14-8.

What was the final score of IK Tord vs Vanersborgs FK?

IK Tord 2-1 Vanersborgs FK in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 03/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for IK Tord vs Vanersborgs FK?

Before kick-off our model rated a IK Tord win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split IK Tord 63%, draw 18%, Vanersborgs FK 19%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (IK Tord), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (IK Tord) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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