Vanersborgs FK 1-0 IK Tord — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 9 May 2025

📅09/05/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.67
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
45%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.15
Over 2.5
56%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.56
No
42%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
13%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
27%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
34%
-4.0pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.4pp
45%
Away Win
41%
+4.3pp
44%
Under 2.5
43%
+1.1pp
56%
Over 2.5
57%
-1.1pp
58%
BTTS Yes
60%
-2.4pp
42%
BTTS No
40%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vanersborgs FK EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY IK Tord EU Bookmakers 45%
+0% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +17%
1.79/1.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.93/1.72
+7% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +76% / -8%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
251 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vanersborgs FK
1-0
AWAY IK Tord
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 12
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Vanersborgs FK vs IK Tord
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vanersborgs FK nicked a narrow win over IK Tord 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was IK Tord at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Vanersborgs FK had 44% of the ball to IK Tord's 56%, shots finished 8-11.

What was the final score of Vanersborgs FK vs IK Tord?

Vanersborgs FK 1-0 IK Tord in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 09/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vanersborgs FK vs IK Tord?

Before kick-off our model rated an IK Tord win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Vanersborgs FK 30%, draw 25%, IK Tord 45%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (IK Tord) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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