Varbergs GIF 0-2 Astrio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 9 May 2025

📅09/05/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
3.32
Draw
27%
3.8
Away
36%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
Over 2.5
53%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.5
No
43%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
11%
X/2
18%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
26%
+10.8pp
27%
Draw
22%
+4.6pp
36%
Away Win
51%
-15.2pp
57%
BTTS Yes
62%
-5.6pp
43%
BTTS No
38%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Varbergs GIF EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Astrio EU Bookmakers 56%
+27% / +28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -15%
1.67/1.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.10/1.91
+17% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / -27%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
358 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 353 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.6 Yellow Cards 0.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Varbergs GIF
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Astrio
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 5
10 Corners 2
4 Yellow Cards 0
24.08.2024 Varbergs GIF Varbergs GIF 4-2 HT 0-0 Astrio Astrio İSÇ4
27.04.2024 Astrio Astrio 0-1 HT 0-1 Varbergs GIF Varbergs GIF İSÇ4
25.08.2023 Varbergs GIF Varbergs GIF 2-0 HT 2-0 Astrio Astrio İSÇ4
28.04.2023 Astrio Astrio 3-2 HT 0-0 Varbergs GIF Varbergs GIF İSÇ4
03.09.2022 Astrio Astrio 2-1 HT 1-1 Varbergs GIF Varbergs GIF İSÇ4
25.09.2021 Astrio Astrio 4-0 HT 2-0 Varbergs GIF Varbergs GIF İSÇ4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Varbergs GIF
0-2
AWAY Astrio
38% Ball Possession 62%
5 Total Shots 20
3 Shots on Target 11
2 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Varbergs GIF vs Astrio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Astrio got the better of Varbergs GIF 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 27% / 36% — and on the day Astrio made the difference. The goals read — both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Varbergs GIF had 38% of the ball to Astrio's 62%, shots finished 5-20.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Varbergs GIF and 1.83 for Astrio.

What was the final score of Varbergs GIF vs Astrio?

Varbergs GIF 0-2 Astrio in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 09/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Varbergs GIF vs Astrio?

Before kick-off our model rated a Varbergs GIF win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Varbergs GIF 37%, draw 27%, Astrio 36%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Varbergs GIF) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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