Real Murcia 1-1 Sevilla II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 3 Oct 2025

📅03/10/2025 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
60%
1.49
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
14%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under
56%
1.6
Over
44%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.4
No
52%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1
30%
2.39
2-3
42%
1.73
4-5
20%
4.48
6+
8%
24.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
39%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
4%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
6%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Real Murcia win — 60%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
63%
-2.3pp
26%
Draw
23%
+2.1pp
14%
Away Win
14%
+0.0pp
56%
Under 2.5
59%
-2.2pp
44%
Over 2.5
41%
+2.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
38%
+10.9pp
52%
BTTS No
62%
-10.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Murcia EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Sevilla II EU Bookmakers 17%
-17% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +0%
1.02/0.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/1.48
-40% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +3%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
379 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 262 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Murcia
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Sevilla II
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 5
16.02.2025 Real Murcia Real Murcia 0-2 HT 0-1 Sevilla II Sevilla II İS3
25.08.2024 Sevilla II Sevilla II 1-2 HT 1-2 Real Murcia Real Murcia İS3
31.01.2021 Sevilla II Sevilla II 1-1 HT 1-1 Real Murcia Real Murcia İS3
01.11.2020 Real Murcia Real Murcia 1-1 HT 1-1 Sevilla II Sevilla II İS3
04.01.2020 Real Murcia Real Murcia 2-2 HT 1-1 Sevilla II Sevilla II İS3
28.03.2009 Sevilla II Sevilla II 3-3 HT 0-1 Real Murcia Real Murcia İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Murcia
1-1
AWAY Sevilla II
53% Ball Possession 47%
18 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Real Murcia vs Sevilla II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Murcia and Sevilla II couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

This one beat our numbers. Real Murcia carried 60% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Real Murcia had 53% of the ball to Sevilla II's 47%, shots finished 18-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Real Murcia and 1.67 for Sevilla II.

What was the final score of Real Murcia vs Sevilla II?

Real Murcia 1-1 Sevilla II in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 03/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Murcia vs Sevilla II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Murcia win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Real Murcia 60%, draw 26%, Sevilla II 14%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Real Murcia), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Real Murcia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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