Sevilla II 1-2 Real Murcia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 25 Aug 2024

📅25/08/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.67
Draw
27%
2.94
Away
35%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.48
Over 2.5
40%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.13
No
56%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.15
2-3 Goals
42%
1.81
4-5 Goals
16%
5.85
6+ Goals
9%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
34%
+4.3pp
27%
Draw
30%
-3.3pp
35%
Away Win
36%
-1.0pp
60%
Under 2.5
64%
-3.9pp
40%
Over 2.5
36%
+3.9pp
44%
BTTS Yes
43%
+1.4pp
56%
BTTS No
57%
-1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sevilla II EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Murcia EU Bookmakers 40%
+0% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
1.27/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/0.76
+14% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +39%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
259 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 341 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.1 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sevilla II
0W-4D-1L
AWAY Real Murcia
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.60
48% Ball Possession 52%
6 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 1
31.01.2021 Sevilla II Sevilla II 1-1 HT 1-1 Real Murcia Real Murcia İS3
01.11.2020 Real Murcia Real Murcia 1-1 HT 1-1 Sevilla II Sevilla II İS3
04.01.2020 Real Murcia Real Murcia 2-2 HT 1-1 Sevilla II Sevilla II İS3
28.03.2009 Sevilla II Sevilla II 3-3 HT 0-1 Real Murcia Real Murcia İS2
26.10.2008 Real Murcia Real Murcia 1-0 HT 1-0 Sevilla II Sevilla II İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sevilla II
1-2
AWAY Real Murcia
55% Ball Possession 45%
9 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 2
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sevilla II vs Real Murcia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Murcia edged past Sevilla II 2-1 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 27% / 35% — and on the day Real Murcia made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Sevilla II had 55% of the ball to Real Murcia's 45%, shots finished 9-7.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Real Murcia led the recent series with 1 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Sevilla II and 1.60 for Real Murcia.

What was the final score of Sevilla II vs Real Murcia?

Sevilla II 1-2 Real Murcia in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 25/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sevilla II vs Real Murcia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sevilla II win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Sevilla II 38%, draw 27%, Real Murcia 35%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Sevilla II) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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